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Climate change: causes, evidence and responses

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Notas de aula

Evidence for climate change

  • Climate evidence combines instrumental records, ocean and ice changes, sea level and dated proxies. Ice cores preserve past gas composition and provide temperature proxies; they do not directly record tomorrow’s weather.
  • IPCC AR6 reported global surface warming of about 1.1°C for 2011–2020 compared with 1850–1900. State both periods. This historical average is not a claim about the present year, every region or a single-year Paris threshold.

Read a temperature statement

Read a temperature statementElementIPCC AR6 exampleMeasured quantityGlobal surface temperature changeAveraging period2011–2020Reference period1850–1900Rounded changeAbout +1.1°C

Causes

  • The greenhouse effect involves absorption and emission of infrared radiation, not a sealed blanket that prevents all energy escaping. Increasing greenhouse gases changes Earth’s energy balance. Human activities, primarily greenhouse-gas emissions, are responsible for recent global warming.
  • Fossil-fuel combustion and land-use change add CO2; agriculture, landfill and fossil-fuel systems emit methane, while soils and fertilisers can emit nitrous oxide. Water vapour largely amplifies warming as a feedback. Orbital changes influence long-term climate; large eruptions can temporarily cool through stratospheric sulfate aerosols. These do not account for the recent human-driven trend.

Infrared absorption and emission

Infrared absorption and emission

Effects

  • Climate change affects heat, rainfall, ecosystems, food and water risks, with different local consequences. Attribution to a specific event requires evidence; one storm or retreating glacier alone is not a complete global analysis.
  • Sea-level rise includes thermal expansion and land-ice loss. Floating sea-ice melt contributes little directly to sea level. Flood risk also depends on local land movement, tides, storms, exposure and adaptation. Longer frost-free periods can benefit some activities but do not guarantee higher yields or offset all other impacts.

Imagined adaptation options

Imagined adaptation options

Managing climate change

  • Mitigation reduces emissions or strengthens removals; adaptation manages risks and exposure. Energy efficiency, low-carbon energy, appropriate forestry and durable carbon storage need lifecycle, permanence and land-use evaluation. Flood protection, shade, water conservation and crop choices need local risk assessment.
  • The Paris Agreement was adopted in 2015, seeking warming well below 2°C and pursuing efforts towards 1.5°C above pre-industrial conditions. It concerns long-term global temperature; a single-year anomaly is a different measure. Policy adoption is not proof that every target is achieved.
  • Both response types need investment and fair access. Adaptation has limits and possible unintended effects; forest carbon can be lost, capture needs durable storage and defences retain residual risk. Evaluate effectiveness, maintenance and distribution rather than promising a risk-free solution.

Two complementary responses

Two complementary responsesResponsePurposeMitigationReduce emissions or enhance removalsAdaptationReduce climate risks and vulnerability

Slides

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Questões de prática

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  1. 1.What is the greenhouse effect?

    Easy
    • Agreenhouse gases absorbing and emitting outgoing infrared radiation
    • Bplants growing in glass
    • Cthe sun cooling
    • Drain forming
  2. 2.Which gas is the main greenhouse gas from burning fuels?

    Easy
    • Aoxygen
    • Bnitrogen
    • Chelium
    • Dcarbon dioxide
  3. 3.Which is a natural cause of climate change?

    Easy
    • Adeforestation
    • Bfarming cattle
    • Cvolcanic eruptions
    • Dburning coal
  4. 4.Which is a human cause?

    Easy
    • Avolcanoes
    • Bburning fossil fuels
    • Csunspots
    • Dorbital changes
  5. 5.Which gas does agriculture release?

    Easy
    • Amethane
    • Bhelium
    • Cargon
    • Dneon
  6. 6.What is mitigation?

    Easy
    • Aadapting to its effects
    • Bignoring it
    • Ccausing it
    • Dreducing the causes of climate change
  7. 7.What is adaptation?

    Easy
    • Adenying it
    • Bcausing it
    • Cadjusting to the effects of climate change
    • Dstopping emissions
  8. 8.What did the Paris Agreement (2015) aim for?

    Easy
    • Aending winter
    • Bhold long-term warming well below 2°C and pursue efforts towards 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels
    • Cending the greenhouse effect
    • Dbanning cars

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