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Scatter graphs and correlation

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课程笔记

Scatter graphs

  • A scatter graph plots pairs of values to show whether two variables are related. Each point is one observation.
  • The pattern shows correlation: positive (as one increases the other increases), negative (one increases as the other decreases), or no correlation.
  • For linear correlation, strength concerns how closely points follow a straight-line pattern; its steepness alone does not measure strength.

Illustrative positive association

Illustrative positive associationO5101520123456Revision / hScore

Line of best fit

  • A line of best fit is a straight line drawn through the middle of the points, with roughly equal numbers of points either side. It should pass through the mean point (\bar{x}, \bar{y}).
  • Use it to estimate a value for one variable from the other.
  • Interpolation stays inside the observed x-range and is generally safer than extrapolation, but its reliability still depends on scatter, model fit and the data.

A line fitted to the illustrative data

A line fitted to the illustrative dataO5101520123456Revision / hScorey = 2x + 5

Interpreting the line

  • The gradient shows the rate: how much y changes for each 1 unit of x. The intercept shows the value of y when x = 0 (not always meaningful).

Causation

  • Correlation does not mean causation: ice cream sales and sunburn are correlated because both rise in hot weather.

Outliers

  • An outlier is a point far from the pattern. Consider whether it is a mistake or genuine, and ignore it when drawing the line of best fit if it is an error.

幻灯片

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练习题

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  1. 1.What kind of correlation do the points of a scatter graph have if they slope upwards from left to right?

    Easy
    • Apositive
    • Bnegative
    • Cnone
    • Dzero
  2. 2.What kind of correlation do points have if they slope downwards from left to right?

    Easy
    • Apositive
    • Bnegative
    • Cnone
    • Dperfect
  3. 3.What does 'no correlation' mean?

    Easy
    • AThere is no clear upward or downward association in the plotted data
    • Bthe variables are the same
    • Cthe line is steep
    • Da strong relationship
  4. 4.What is a scatter graph used for?

    Easy
    • Ashowing the relationship between two variables
    • Bshowing proportions
    • Cshowing frequencies in classes
    • Dshowing time only
  5. 5.Which would you expect to show positive correlation?

    Easy
    • Aheight and arm span
    • Bage of a car and its value
    • Cspeed and journey time for a fixed distance
    • Dshoe size and number of books
  6. 6.Which would you expect to show negative correlation?

    Easy
    • Athe age of a car and its value
    • Bhours of study and exam mark
    • Cheight and weight
    • Dtemperature and ice cream sales
  7. 7.For adults of a similar age, which pair would usually be expected to show no clear correlation?

    Easy
    • Ashoe size and maths score
    • Bheight and weight
    • Ctemperature and ice cream sales
    • Dage of a car and value
  8. 8.A line of best fit should:

    Easy
    • Ago through the middle of the points
    • Bjoin the first and last point
    • Cgo through the origin always
    • Dbe curved

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