Probability scale and single events

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교육자를 위해: Probability scale and single events(KS3 Maths, Probability)을(를) 위한 바로 쓸 수 있는 수업 슬라이드, 복습 노트 — 수업에 사용하거나, 학습자들이 실시간 게임으로 즐기는 인터랙티브 클래스 활동으로 진행하세요.

수업 노트

The Language of Probability

  • Probability describes how likely an event is to happen, using words such as impossible, unlikely, even chance, likely and certain.
  • An impossible event cannot happen, for example rolling a 7 on an ordinary six-sided dice.
  • An even chance means an event is just as likely to happen as not to happen, such as getting heads when tossing a fair coin.
  • A certain event will definitely happen, for example getting a number less than 7 when rolling an ordinary dice.
  • Words like unlikely and likely sit between impossible and certain, but they do not give an exact value.

The Probability Scale

  • Probabilities are measured on a scale from 0 to 1.
  • A probability of 0 means the event is impossible.
  • A probability of 1 means the event is certain.
  • A probability of 0.5 (or 1/2) means an even chance.
  • The scale can also be written as percentages from 0% to 100%.
  • The larger the probability, the more likely the event is to occur.

Equally Likely Outcomes

  • When all outcomes are equally likely, each outcome has the same chance of happening.
  • A fair coin has two equally likely outcomes: heads and tails.
  • A fair six-sided dice has six equally likely outcomes: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6.
  • Tossing a coin twice gives four equally likely outcomes: head-head, head-tail, tail-head and tail-tail.

Calculating Probability of a Single Event

  • For equally likely outcomes, the probability of an event is: P = \frac{\text{number of favourable outcomes}}{\text{total number of possible outcomes}}.
  • The answer can be written as a fraction, a decimal or a percentage.
  • Example: the probability of getting heads on a fair coin is 1/2 = 0.5 = 50%.
  • Example: the probability of rolling a 4 on a fair dice is 1/6 ≈ 0.167 ≈ 16.7%.
  • Example: tossing two coins, the probability of head-head is 1/4 = 0.25 = 25%.
  • Example: tossing two coins, the probability of at least one head is 3/4 = 0.75 = 75%.

Probabilities of All Outcomes Sum to 1

  • The probabilities of all possible outcomes of an event add up to 1 (or 100%).
  • For a fair coin: P(heads) + P(tails) = 1/2 + 1/2 = 1.
  • For a fair dice: P(1) + P(2) + P(3) + P(4) + P(5) + P(6) = 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 = 1.
  • This rule helps you check that you have not missed any outcomes.

Probability of an Event Not Happening

  • If the probability of an event happening is P, the probability of it not happening is 1 − P.
  • Example: if P(rain) = 0.3, then P(no rain) = 1 − 0.3 = 0.7.
  • Example: if P(winning a game) = 1/5, then P(not winning) = 1 − 1/5 = 4/5.
  • The probability of an event and the probability of its complement always add up to 1.

Theoretical vs Empirical Probability

  • Theoretical probability is found by counting equally likely outcomes, as in tossing a fair coin.
  • Empirical probability (or experimental probability) is found by carrying out an experiment and recording results.
  • Theoretical probability is based on reasoning; empirical probability is based on data.
  • In the long run, empirical probability tends to get closer to theoretical probability.

슬라이드

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연습 문제

무료 미리 보기 — 63개 중 8개 문제. 가입하면 전부 볼 수 있어요.
  1. 1.Which of these numbers cannot be the probability of an event?

    Easy
    • A0
    • B0.5
    • C1.2
    • D1
  2. 2.The probability that it will rain tomorrow is 0.35. What is the probability, as a decimal, that it will not rain tomorrow?

    Easy
    • A0.35
    • B0.55
    • C0.65
    • D0.75
  3. 3.A fair coin is tossed once. Which list gives the probability of heads written as a fraction, a decimal and a percentage?

    Easy
    • A1/2, 0.5, 50%
    • B1/2, 0.2, 20%
    • C1/4, 0.25, 25%
    • D1/1, 1.0, 100%
  4. 4.Which of the following are valid ways to write the probability of an event that is certain to happen? (select all that apply)

    Medium
    • A0
    • B1
    • C100%
    • D1/2
    • E0.1
  5. 5.The probability of an event not happening is 1 minus the probability of the event happening.

    Easy

    True or false?

  6. 6.If the probability of an event is 0.8, the event is impossible.

    Easy

    True or false?

  7. 7.Match each probability to the best description of how likely the event is.

    Medium
    • 0
    • 0.5
    • 1
    • certain
    • even chance
    • impossible
  8. 8.Put these probabilities in order from least likely to most likely.

    Medium
    • 0.1
    • 0.5
    • 0.75
    • 1

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